A newly conducted poll shows that US Vice President Kamala Harris is ahead of Republican candidate Donald Trump in three important battleground states, showing that the Democratic Party is turning things around three months before the election. nominated.
.@Tim_Walz and I kicked off our first week on the campaign trail as running mates—and, in just five days, we visited Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, Arizona and Nevada.
Over the next 86 days, we hope to see you all out on the trail. pic.twitter.com/jeWqgzgJJF
— Kamala Harris (@KamalaHarris) August 11, 2024
Ms. Harris leads Mr. Trump by four percentage points in the states of Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan (50% to 46%), in a survey conducted by the New York Times and Siena College of 2,000 likely voters. The survey was conducted when Ms. Harris selected Minnesota governor Tim Walz as her vice presidential candidate.
The results are considered a very positive signal for the Democratic Party, and show that the situation has changed quickly after President Joe Biden announced he would stop running and support Ms. Harris as his replacement. Previously, many surveys showed that Mr. Biden’s support rate was equal to or lower than Mr. Trump’s.
Ms. Harris is considered by voters to be smarter, more honest and more suitable to be president than Mr. Trump, according to survey results.
Ms. Harris and Mr. Walz organized many campaigns in important battlegrounds that will likely determine the outcome of this year’s election. Last weekend, they held a campaign event in Las Vegas, Nevada, where Mr. Biden and Ms. Harris won by a margin of two percentage points in 2020.
Positive signs for the Democratic Party include the fact that 60% of independent voters surveyed said they were satisfied with their choice of candidates, compared to 45% in May.
The difference in results is said to be due to voters evaluating Ms. Harris more positively, after she repeatedly spoke about forward-looking policies during the campaign. In Pennsylvania, where President Biden defeated Mr. Trump by 80,000 votes in 2020, the percentage of registered voters favoring Ms. Harris increased by 10 percentage points in just one month.
This week, @Tim_Walz and I kicked off our campaign together—it has been electric.
Thank you, Pennsylvania! pic.twitter.com/G5Fq58uAcX
— Kamala Harris (@KamalaHarris) August 11, 2024
Ms. Harris is expected to need to win Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan to become president.
Meanwhile, the situation is becoming more difficult for Mr. Trump and vice presidential candidate JD Vance. Mr. Trump’s approval rating has declined since he decided to choose Vance as his deputy, after controversial comments about “childless aunts who like to raise cats.” Independent voters, Democrats and Republicans all do not rate Mr. Vance highly, according to survey results.
However, 60% of voters believe that Mr. Trump has a clearer vision for America, while only 53% sided with Ms. Harris on this question. In addition, Mr. Trump is also more trusted in the issues of running the economy and handling immigration, two of the three important issues for American voters this year. Ms. Harris is more trusted on the issue of abortion, which Democrats hope will help her win in other battleground states, including Arizona and Wisconsin.
While the New York Times Times/Siena College survey results may not really reflect reality, it is one of many recent polls showing that Ms. Harris and Mr. Trump are in a tight race. tight. According to the average of many surveys compiled by RealClearPolitics, Ms. Harris is currently leading Mr. Trump nationally by 0.5 percentage points. This is a big difference when just last month, Mr. Trump was still leading Mr. Biden by about 3 percentage points.
According to a New York Times/Siena survey, Ms. Harris has increased her support from 36% in February to 48% currently despite not officially announcing her policy positions and not holding a press conference until now. since activating the presidential campaign at the end of July. Meanwhile, Mr. Trump also slightly increased his approval rating to 46% compared to 44% six months ago.
According to the Capitoneshirt